Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Zacha
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Zacha
Monahan
Last 9: Zacha 6-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
1
Zacha
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Zacha
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
52.4% (853)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
58.6% (174)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
46.5% (144)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Zacha
Monahan
Home
53.4% (406)
53.4% (624)
Away
52.9% (333)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Zacha
Monahan
P1
56.8%
53.7%
P2
53.6%
52.4%
P3
49.2%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |