Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Zacha
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Zacha
Monahan
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Zacha
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
53.7% (2,580)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
46.0% (766)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Zacha
Monahan
Home
49.7% (3,353)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Zacha
Monahan
P1
49.9%
50.9%
P2
49.2%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
51.0%
OT
53.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |