Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 75.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
44.2% (52)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
33.3% (6)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
40.0% (15)
-1.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
51.7% (410)
43.6% (39)
Away
52.2% (408)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
57.7%
37.5%
P2
48.9%
48.3%
P3
50.2%
38.9%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |