Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 70.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Zacha
Jarvis
Last 10: Zacha 5-5 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
4
Zacha
Jarvis
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Zacha
Jarvis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
42.0% (352)
+6.9%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
43.7% (119)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
38.2% (157)
+4.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
49.7% (3,353)
43.8% (336)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
49.9%
39.7%
P2
49.2%
39.5%
P3
48.1%
46.1%
OT
53.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |