Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 91.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 83.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Zacha
Jarvis
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
2
Zacha
Jarvis
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Zacha
Jarvis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
46.2% (171)
+7.7%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
51.9% (54)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
39.4% (127)
+4.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
56.7% (538)
46.1% (204)
Away
52.8% (530)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
52.6%
42.5%
P2
54.8%
42.9%
P3
56.8%
48.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |