Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 60.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.1%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 54.5%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
32.1% (81)
+22.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
38.6% (57)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
28.6% (14)
+16.2%
On even strength, Zacha has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
53.4% (406)
40.6% (69)
Away
52.9% (333)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
56.8%
30.9%
P2
53.6%
30.6%
P3
49.2%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |