Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 88.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 60.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 76.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Zacha
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Zacha
Gourde
Last 6: Zacha 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
1
Zacha
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
48.0% (914)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
54.2% (48)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
43.9% (123)
+0.4%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gourde
Home
56.7% (538)
50.2% (512)
Away
52.8% (530)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Zacha
Gourde
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
45.3%
P3
56.8%
48.6%
OT
59.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |