Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Zacha
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zacha
Gourde
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Zacha
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
48.4% (4,954)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
57.4% (376)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
39.9% (554)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gourde
Home
49.7% (3,353)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Zacha
Gourde
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
49.2%
47.4%
P3
48.1%
47.5%
OT
53.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |