Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Krebs 49.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 54.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 66.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayes
Krebs
Last 6: Hayes 1-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Hayes
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Hayes
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
49.5% (560)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
52.6% (38)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
43.3% (67)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
50.5% (200)
49.4% (314)
Away
53.4% (253)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
58.8%
47.0%
P2
49.3%
50.5%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |