Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 46.8% vs Aho 53.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 52.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 78.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 64.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Krebs
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Krebs
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Krebs
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Krebs
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (542)
51.2% (785)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
63.8% (213)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (48)
57.9% (57)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Krebs shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Krebs
Aho
Home
45.5% (312)
54.9% (548)
Away
47.0% (302)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Krebs
Aho
P1
46.6%
52.8%
P2
42.7%
58.9%
P3
48.6%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |