Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Aho 50.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 68.1%
Defensive zone
Krebs 67.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 51.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Krebs
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Krebs
Aho
Last 7: Krebs 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Krebs
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Krebs
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
49.9% (851)
-5.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.5% (144)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
43.3% (60)
+1.7%
On power play, Aho has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Krebs shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Krebs
Aho
Home
46.8% (188)
53.2% (554)
Away
42.4% (224)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Krebs
Aho
P1
47.2%
49.1%
P2
44.9%
50.8%
P3
41.1%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |