Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 49.2% vs Aho 54.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 86.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 65.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 61.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Krebs
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Krebs
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (560)
54.5% (870)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
62.4% (266)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
37.1% (62)
+6.2%
On power play, Aho has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Krebs shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Krebs
Aho
Home
49.4% (314)
53.9% (603)
Away
48.7% (351)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Krebs
Aho
P1
47.0%
54.1%
P2
50.5%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |