Nathan MacKinnon vs Phillip Danault
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Danault 55.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 93.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 73.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 86.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
MacKinnon
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
MacKinnon
Danault
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
MacKinnon
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
7
MacKinnon
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (1,039)
54.8% (1,222)
-12.0%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
81.6% (49)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
54.3% (317)
-8.1%
On power play, Danault has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
MacKinnon shoots right. Danault is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Danault
Home
48.0% (586)
56.2% (770)
Away
39.5% (597)
54.9% (818)
By Period
MacKinnon
Danault
P1
46.1%
52.5%
P2
41.5%
57.9%
P3
43.8%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |