Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Donato 48.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 80.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 59.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Danault
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Danault
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Danault
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
48.1% (258)
+8.4%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
43.2% (37)
+2.8%
On even strength, Danault has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Danault
Donato
Home
57.0% (379)
45.8% (142)
Away
54.0% (498)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Danault
Donato
P1
55.8%
48.1%
P2
55.3%
46.6%
P3
54.8%
46.8%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |