Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Donato 45.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 79.0%
Defensive zone
Donato 57.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 74.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Danault
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Danault
Donato
Last 5: Danault 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Danault
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Danault
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
42.9% (140)
+12.2%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
28.6% (7)
+36.0%
On power play, Danault has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Danault shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Danault
Donato
Home
55.4% (641)
44.6% (83)
Away
53.3% (632)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Danault
Donato
P1
61.0%
53.2%
P2
52.3%
33.3%
P3
51.3%
41.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |