Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Donato 45.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 86.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 72.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Danault
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Danault
Donato
Last 7: Danault 2-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Danault
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Danault
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
43.5% (400)
+8.9%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
48.7% (119)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
33.3% (6)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Danault shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Danault
Donato
Home
51.2% (605)
50.2% (279)
Away
53.2% (611)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Danault
Donato
P1
53.1%
44.6%
P2
49.8%
46.6%
P3
54.3%
42.0%
OT
20.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |