Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 53.2% vs Donato 44.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 92.7%
Defensive zone
Donato 75.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 88.7%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Danault
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Danault
Donato
Last 10: Danault 3-7 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
5
Danault
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
3
Danault
Donato
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Danault
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (9,447)
44.2% (1,179)
+9.4%
Power Play
61.4% (757)
46.3% (246)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (1,702)
36.4% (11)
+11.0%
On power play, Danault has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Danault shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Danault
Donato
Home
54.2% (5,820)
47.2% (743)
Away
52.3% (6,086)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Danault
Donato
P1
53.7%
43.4%
P2
53.5%
45.1%
P3
52.7%
44.4%
OT
49.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |