Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Hartman 47.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 55.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 64.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 67.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Danault
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Danault
Hartman
Last 7: Danault 4-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
4
0
Danault
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Danault
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Danault
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
47.1% (649)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
47.1% (68)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
45.2% (73)
+0.3%
On power play, Danault has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Danault shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Danault
Hartman
Home
54.0% (581)
46.5% (361)
Away
49.7% (576)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Danault
Hartman
P1
53.7%
45.1%
P2
55.3%
44.4%
P3
46.5%
50.9%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |