Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Hartman 48.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 59.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 58.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Danault
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Danault
Hartman
Last 10: Danault 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Danault
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
2
Danault
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Danault
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
48.1% (520)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
44.7% (47)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
47.8% (23)
-0.2%
On power play, Danault has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Danault shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Danault
Hartman
Home
51.2% (605)
48.3% (360)
Away
53.2% (611)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Danault
Hartman
P1
53.1%
48.5%
P2
49.8%
45.2%
P3
54.3%
49.6%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |