Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Danault wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Hartman 45.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Danault
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Danault
Hartman
Last 10: Danault 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
5
4
Danault
Hartman
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Danault
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
44.8% (830)
+11.7%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
47.8% (92)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
37.5% (16)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Danault shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Danault
Hartman
Home
57.0% (379)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.0% (498)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Danault
Hartman
P1
55.8%
46.5%
P2
55.3%
39.9%
P3
54.8%
48.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |