Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Danault wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 48.0% vs Seguin 55.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 61.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 86.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 68.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Danault
Seguin
Last 9: Danault 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Danault
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Danault
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (485)
55.9% (789)
-8.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.1% (48)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On power play, Danault has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
46.5% (230)
57.3% (382)
Away
48.4% (289)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
47.4%
55.1%
P2
45.7%
57.5%
P3
49.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
47.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |