Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 51.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 62.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 56.4%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danault
Seguin
Last 5: Danault 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
53.2% (201)
+3.3%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
60.0% (25)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
44.4% (9)
+7.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
57.0% (379)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.0% (498)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
55.8%
44.3%
P2
55.3%
52.1%
P3
54.8%
62.5%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |