Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.7%). Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Danault wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Danault
Seguin
Last 10: Danault 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Danault
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danault
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Danault
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (953)
55.0% (713)
+0.1%
Power Play
64.6% (144)
56.7% (104)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (176)
47.2% (53)
-5.2%
On power play, Danault has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
55.4% (641)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.3% (632)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
61.0%
54.2%
P2
52.3%
52.9%
P3
51.3%
57.1%
OT
35.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |