Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 51.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 56.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 59.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Danault
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Danault
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Danault
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (895)
56.9% (478)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.7% (97)
57.4% (54)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
51.3% (76)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Danault shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Danault
Seguin
Home
54.0% (581)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.7% (576)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Danault
Seguin
P1
53.7%
50.3%
P2
55.3%
60.4%
P3
46.5%
58.0%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |