Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Dubois 44.0% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 98.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 95.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Ryan
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Ryan
Dubois
Last 6: Ryan 6-0 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
43.5% (955)
+15.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
42.0% (81)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
54.5% (11)
+3.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Dubois is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dubois
Home
57.0% (398)
47.0% (538)
Away
59.5% (358)
39.7% (509)
By Period
Ryan
Dubois
P1
56.2%
41.8%
P2
56.9%
43.2%
P3
61.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |