Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.4% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Dubois
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dubois
O'Reilly
Last 5: Dubois 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (225)
55.4% (826)
-9.2%
Power Play
66.7% (27)
57.9% (221)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.4% (129)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Dubois shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dubois
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (163)
55.8% (579)
Away
53.6% (97)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Dubois
O'Reilly
P1
45.0%
57.7%
P2
52.3%
54.8%
P3
50.5%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |