Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 31 meetings). Dubois wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 68-38 in 106 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 90.1%
Defensive zone
Dubois 94.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 96.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Dubois
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
68
(106 meetings)
38
68
Dubois
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dubois 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
20
Dubois
O'Reilly
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
22
Dubois
O'Reilly
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
16
26
Dubois
O'Reilly
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (7,002)
56.2% (15,260)
-10.0%
Power Play
51.3% (606)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (108)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Dubois shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Dubois
O'Reilly
Home
47.9% (3,872)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.4% (3,844)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Dubois
O'Reilly
P1
47.6%
55.6%
P2
45.6%
57.0%
P3
46.8%
55.1%
OT
48.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |