Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 63.9%
Defensive zone
Dubois 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 67.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Dubois
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Dubois
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dubois 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
4
1
Dubois
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Dubois
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
56.2% (983)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
55.5% (254)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
52.0% (102)
+1.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Dubois shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Dubois
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (582)
56.2% (697)
Away
51.1% (579)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Dubois
O'Reilly
P1
52.0%
54.5%
P2
49.9%
55.5%
P3
46.9%
57.1%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |