Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.7%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.0% vs Steel 48.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 66.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.1%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Dubois
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dubois
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (809)
49.5% (553)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.9% (163)
61.3% (31)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
30.6% (49)
+6.9%
On power play, Steel has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Dubois shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Dubois
Steel
Home
50.5% (497)
46.4% (347)
Away
47.3% (491)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Dubois
Steel
P1
49.0%
52.1%
P2
48.2%
49.8%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.9%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |