Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Dubois wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.6% vs Steel 50.4% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 64.6%
Defensive zone
Dubois 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 64.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Dubois
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dubois
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dubois
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dubois
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (72)
51.3% (195)
-11.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
43.2% (37)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dubois is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Dubois shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Dubois
Steel
Home
34.5% (29)
50.0% (100)
Away
46.9% (49)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Dubois
Steel
P1
35.7%
49.4%
P2
42.9%
48.1%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |