Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Dubois wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 46.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 76.2%
Defensive zone
Dubois 53.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 56.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Dubois
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Dubois
Steel
Last 10: Dubois 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubois
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
5
Dubois
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
Dubois
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (7,002)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.3% (606)
62.6% (179)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (108)
37.4% (254)
+10.7%
On power play, Steel has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Dubois shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Dubois
Steel
Home
47.9% (3,872)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.4% (3,844)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Dubois
Steel
P1
47.6%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
49.5%
P3
46.8%
49.6%
OT
48.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |