Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.4% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dubois
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dubois
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (225)
51.8% (444)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
45.3% (150)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
46.6% (163)
54.6% (304)
Away
53.6% (97)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
45.0%
55.2%
P2
52.3%
45.7%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |