Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dubois wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 47.1% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 81.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Dubois
Kuraly
Last 10: Dubois 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
1
Dubois
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Dubois
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
4
3
Dubois
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (1,050)
52.3% (982)
-6.2%
Power Play
58.0% (81)
41.9% (43)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
39.2% (245)
-14.2%
On power play, Dubois has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
47.0% (581)
50.3% (680)
Away
46.8% (554)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
46.9%
49.5%
P2
50.1%
49.6%
P3
43.9%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |