Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Dubois
Kuraly
Last 10: Dubois 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Dubois
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Dubois
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
4
Dubois
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (842)
49.4% (445)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
100.0% (3)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
41.9% (117)
+13.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
51.0% (445)
49.2% (248)
Away
48.3% (441)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
50.3%
48.3%
P2
49.5%
44.7%
P3
49.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |