Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.6%). Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 86.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dubois
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Dubois
Kuraly
Last 10: Dubois 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
5
0
Dubois
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Dubois
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dubois
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (809)
49.2% (901)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.9% (163)
68.2% (22)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
49.8% (219)
-12.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Dubois shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kuraly
Home
50.5% (497)
51.7% (603)
Away
47.3% (491)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Dubois
Kuraly
P1
49.0%
50.9%
P2
48.2%
49.5%
P3
49.1%
49.1%
OT
71.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |