Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 66.5%
Defensive zone
Suter 65.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 65.9%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Suter
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Suter
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Suter
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (840)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
60.4% (260)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (96)
54.0% (261)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Suter shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Suter
O'Reilly
Home
49.8% (502)
54.9% (801)
Away
48.8% (502)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Suter
O'Reilly
P1
46.7%
58.0%
P2
51.7%
56.7%
P3
48.9%
55.4%
OT
63.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |