Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suter wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Suter
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Suter
O'Reilly
Last 6: Suter 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Suter
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
2
0
Suter
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.8%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
56.8% (303)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
40.3% (149)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Suter shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Suter
O'Reilly
Home
51.7% (172)
54.8% (759)
Away
47.3% (205)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Suter
O'Reilly
P1
48.2%
55.3%
P2
49.3%
51.9%
P3
51.2%
54.2%
OT
25.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |