Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 64.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 72.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Evans
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Evans
Holmberg
Last 5: Evans 5-0 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Holmberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
49.0% (245)
+5.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
33.3% (3)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
48.6% (37)
-0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
55.1% (541)
50.3% (147)
Away
50.8% (581)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
51.8%
59.2%
P2
53.3%
40.0%
P3
53.8%
46.9%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |