Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 43.1%). Holmberg wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 44.8% vs Thompson 43.8% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 58.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Holmberg
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (207)
43.3% (735)
-0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.0% (26)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.5% (52)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Holmberg is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Holmberg shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Thompson
Home
40.9% (127)
44.5% (407)
Away
44.6% (92)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Holmberg
Thompson
P1
47.8%
44.4%
P2
43.8%
44.8%
P3
37.2%
40.2%
Final 5 min
34.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%