Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 49.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 71.7%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 55.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.8%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Holmberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Holmberg
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Holmberg
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (245)
41.9% (597)
+7.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.5% (95)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (37)
25.0% (12)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Holmberg shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Thompson
Home
50.3% (147)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.1% (138)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Holmberg
Thompson
P1
59.2%
44.2%
P2
40.0%
41.6%
P3
46.9%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%