Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 47.5% vs Thompson 44.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Holmberg
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Holmberg
Thompson
Last 5: Holmberg 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Holmberg
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Holmberg
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
0
Holmberg
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (175)
44.6% (709)
+1.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
41.5% (53)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
35.1% (97)
+4.9%
On power play, Holmberg has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Holmberg is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Holmberg shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Thompson
Home
50.9% (112)
45.5% (426)
Away
40.7% (91)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Holmberg
Thompson
P1
47.1%
48.5%
P2
45.7%
43.8%
P3
46.2%
38.1%
Final 5 min
38.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |