Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Byfield wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 46.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 79.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 79.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Byfield
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Byfield
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
0
Byfield
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (262)
51.6% (1,084)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.1% (136)
-10.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Byfield shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Byfield
Hertl
Home
43.0% (114)
55.2% (696)
Away
47.2% (159)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Byfield
Hertl
P1
46.5%
55.4%
P2
41.9%
54.8%
P3
47.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |