Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 85.4%
Defensive zone
Byfield 89.3%
Neutral zone
Byfield 83.6%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Byfield
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Byfield
Hertl
Last 10: Byfield 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Byfield
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Byfield
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
6
Byfield
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
54.1% (717)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
61.9% (210)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
58.1% (31)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Byfield
Hertl
Home
43.8% (502)
58.1% (492)
Away
44.3% (440)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Byfield
Hertl
P1
44.2%
57.1%
P2
43.0%
54.0%
P3
45.0%
56.6%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |