Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Faksa 50.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 78.2%
Neutral zone
Faksa 55.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nelson
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Nelson
Faksa
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Faksa
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
50.3% (915)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
46.2% (52)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
52.1% (165)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Faksa is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Nelson
Faksa
Home
51.0% (641)
50.1% (561)
Away
44.1% (605)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Nelson
Faksa
P1
48.2%
45.2%
P2
48.1%
53.0%
P3
46.9%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |