Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.0%). Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Faksa 53.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 56.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 57.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 51.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Stenlund
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (605)
56.4% (289)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
0.0% (2)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (305)
49.2% (126)
+2.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stenlund is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Stenlund shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Faksa
Home
57.0% (446)
54.9% (182)
Away
52.6% (511)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Stenlund
Faksa
P1
55.4%
61.1%
P2
53.2%
51.3%
P3
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |