Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.3%). Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Faksa wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 55.1% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 50.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Faksa
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Faksa
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
1
Faksa
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (413)
55.3% (897)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
61.1% (113)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
50.8% (132)
+2.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Faksa shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Faksa
Karlsson
Home
56.3% (261)
58.6% (560)
Away
55.7% (291)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Faksa
Karlsson
P1
58.6%
55.8%
P2
55.0%
55.6%
P3
55.0%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |