Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Faksa wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 53.7% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 81.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 64.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Faksa
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Faksa
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Faksa
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Faksa
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (401)
56.3% (739)
+0.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
58.6% (181)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (110)
47.2% (53)
-1.7%
On power play, Faksa has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Faksa shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Faksa
Karlsson
Home
49.0% (249)
56.5% (462)
Away
59.4% (271)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Faksa
Karlsson
P1
58.2%
57.1%
P2
53.6%
55.2%
P3
52.4%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |