Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Faksa wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 56.2% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 77.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 54.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Faksa
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Faksa
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Faksa
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (671)
58.6% (597)
-1.7%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
57.9% (57)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (80)
51.9% (52)
+3.1%
On power play, Faksa has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Faksa shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Faksa
Karlsson
Home
59.5% (375)
59.6% (344)
Away
54.6% (383)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Faksa
Karlsson
P1
61.2%
53.1%
P2
54.5%
62.1%
P3
55.5%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |