Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kupari wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 44.4% vs Gourde 49.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kupari 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kupari 60.6%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Kupari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kupari
Gourde
Last 6: Kupari 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
0
Kupari
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Kupari
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kupari
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (275)
49.1% (731)
-6.2%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
54.3% (81)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
48.2% (85)
-5.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Kupari shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kupari
Gourde
Home
46.6% (163)
50.9% (479)
Away
37.9% (140)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Kupari
Gourde
P1
38.7%
51.2%
P2
42.5%
49.8%
P3
47.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |