Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kupari wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 53.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 74.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kupari 62.8%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Kupari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kupari
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
3
1
Kupari
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (379)
49.1% (847)
+4.5%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
79.5% (44)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
39.5% (81)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Kupari shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kupari
Gourde
Home
55.5% (245)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.2% (158)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kupari
Gourde
P1
58.8%
54.7%
P2
47.8%
45.0%
P3
57.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |